Used Motor Sales Forecasting at Kharisma Motor Showroom

 

 

Used Motor Sales Forecasting at Kharisma Motor Showroom

 

Name : siti hindun

Npm : 17212056

Class : 4ea

 

DAFTAR ISI

COVER         i

STATEMENT ORIGINALITY        ii

ENDORSEMENT SHEET      iii

ABSTRACT      iv

EXORDIUM      v

TABLE OF CONTENTS   vii

LIST OF FIGURES      x

LIST OF TABLES   xi

APPENDIX LIST  xii

 

BAB I       PREFACE

1.1Background     1

1.2Formulation and limitations Issue     2

1.2.1Problem Formulation     2

1.2.2Limitations     2

1.3Objective     2

1.4Benefits of research       2

1.4.1Benefits of  Academic     2

1.4.2Benefits of Practical     3

1.5Research Object     3

1.5.1Data / Variable     3

1.5.2Data Collection Methods     3

1.5.3Hypothesis     3

1.5.4Tool Used Analyst     4

 

 

 

 

BAB II LITERATURE

2.1Theoretical framework     5

2.1.1Definition of Forecasting     5

2.1.2   Forecasting Purpose…………………………………….     6

2.1.3Sales Forecasting  Uses     7

2.1.4Forecasting Method     7

2.1.5Types of Forecasting     8

2.1.6Forecasting Process     9

2.1.7 Stages of Forecasting     10

2.1.8Forecasting Karasteristi Good   12

2.1.9Techniques for Making Predictions sales ……………..   14

2.2 Study of Similar Research   14

2.3the analysis     15

2.3.1Method MA (Moving Average)     15

2.3.2Weight Moving Average

(Rata-rata bergerak terimbang)     16

2.3.3Exponential Smooting (ES)     16

2.3.4Mean Absolute Devisiasion (MAD)     18

 

BAB III RESEARCH METHODS

3.1 Research Object   19

3.2 Data/Variables used   19

3.3 Data Collection Methods   19

3.5Analysis Tools Used   20

3.5.1Method MA (Moving average)     20

3.5.2Weight Moving Average

(Rata-rata bergerak terimbang)     20

3.5.3Exponential Smooting (ES)     21

3.5.4Mean Absolute Devisiasion (MAD)     22

 

BAB IV DISCUSSION

4.1 Data and Research Object Profile   23

4.1.1  Introduction23

4.2Data  analysis   25

4.2.1 Calculation of Sales Forecasting   26

4.2.1.1Used Motor Sales Forecasting at Kharisma Motor Showroom Method Using Wearing MA with 3 Period  26

4.2.1.2 Used Motor Sales Forecasting at Showroom

Kharisma Motor Using WMA Wear 3 Period   29

4.2.1.3Used Motor Sales Forecasting at Kharisma Motor

Showroom Method Using ES with Error rate (α)

A sum of 0.1   31

4.3Summary of Results……………………………………………………….    33

 

BAB V CONCLUSION

5.1Conclusion     35

5.2Saran     36

 

REFERENCES               37

ATTACHMENT                         38

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ABSTRACTION   Siti Hindun, 17212056  Used Motor Sales Forecasting Analysis On Kharisma Motor Showroom  PI, Department of Management, Faculty of Economics, University Gunadarma, 2015  Keywords: Forecasting Sales (Forecasting)    (Xii + 37 + attachment)   This scientific writing, discusses forecasting and sales of used motor Within this framework, the author describes the sense of forecasting, forecasting purpose, usefulness sales forecasting, methods of forecasting, the types of forecasting, the forecasting process, stages of forecasting, techniques for create sales forecasts, the basic techniques of forecasting, understanding the methods Moving Average (MA), Weighted Moving Average (WMA), Exponential Smoothing (ES), and Mean Absolute Devisiasion (MAD) and similar research studies The purpose is to dampen a forecasting uncertainty, in order to obtain a close approximation the actual situation. A company typically uses a three-stage procedure to reach the stage of sales forecasting, which begins with forecasting the environment, followed by the industrial sales forecasting and ended with sales forecasting company.   Bibliography (2002-2013)

 

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